Does Venezuela hold a new presidential election?
Will Venezuela hold a new presidential election to choose a successor government, following Nicolás Maduro's January 2026 capture and removal by US forces?
Paused Oct 27, 2026 · tracked from Oct 20, 2026
Last reading: 26% yes
Marked dormant, not resolved: probability has moved only 4 points since this topic opened a week ago, and today's (Oct 27) research again found the same no-date pledge and stalemate — no new election authority, timeline, or opposition breakthrough. Revive under this same id if Rodríguez sets a date, the opposition-government dialogue produces a concrete framework, or other new signal surfaces.
30% Oct 20, 202626% Oct 26, 2026