Does the Senate pass the CLARITY Act?
Will the U.S. Senate pass the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (H.R. 3633) or a successor crypto market-structure bill by a floor vote?
Paused Sep 30, 2026 · tracked from Aug 12, 2026
Last reading: 3% yes
Not resolved — moved to dormant purely to make room in active[] for a fresher question (the new Dec 11 government-shutdown deadline). Probability sat flat at 0.03 across its last six readings, and Sept 30 research found the same status quo as a week ago: coverage now treats this as a 'next Congress' question, Thune has not refiled cloture, and nothing has moved since the Sept 15 cloture failure. Keeps its id and full history here and will move back to active the moment cloture is refiled, a new floor vote is scheduled, or the bill is meaningfully revived in a lame-duck session.