Does the $100,000 H-1B visa fee ultimately take effect?
Will the $100,000 H-1B visa fee imposed by presidential proclamation ultimately survive legal challenges and be enforced against new H-1B petitions?
Paused Oct 1, 2026 · tracked from Aug 24, 2026
Last reading: 4% yes
Not resolved — moved to dormant purely to make room in active[] for a fresher question (the new Suncor v. Boulder Supreme Court preemption case). Probability has sat within a 1-point band (0.04-0.05) across its last six readings, and Oct 1 research found the same status quo as the past two weeks: the First Circuit's merits briefing in State of California v. Mullin remains on track to close Oct 16 with no new docket activity, and the DHS $103,265 rule remains an unfinalized proposal with no timeline. This is a slow appellate docket, not a dead one — it keeps its id and full history here and will move back to active the moment there's a new filing, an oral-argument date, a ruling, or DHS finalizes its rule.